Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.026399 0.028544 0.030692 0.033001 0.035410 0.037845 0.040489
2025-08-10 0.022111 0.025500 0.029018 0.032924 0.037124 0.041490 0.046354
2025-08-17 0.019277 0.023370 0.027734 0.032696 0.038146 0.043918 0.050459
2025-08-24 0.017277 0.021876 0.026894 0.032712 0.039214 0.046200 0.054223
2025-08-31 0.015517 0.020474 0.025999 0.032521 0.039918 0.047970 0.057320
2025-09-07 0.014091 0.019331 0.025290 0.032438 0.040655 0.049699 0.060301
2025-09-14 0.012644 0.018056 0.024337 0.031990 0.040905 0.050821 0.062549
2025-09-21 0.011390 0.016926 0.023479 0.031586 0.041144 0.051880 0.064682
2025-09-28 0.009980 0.015511 0.022204 0.030620 0.040672 0.052077 0.065791
2025-10-05 0.009500 0.015239 0.022289 0.031253 0.042052 0.054387 0.069301
2025-10-12 0.008899 0.014769 0.022098 0.031526 0.042985 0.056163 0.072184
2025-10-19 0.008181 0.014100 0.021624 0.031422 0.043443 0.057366 0.074390
2025-10-26 0.007722 0.013789 0.021626 0.031948 0.044718 0.059602 0.077891
2025-11-02 0.007029 0.013120 0.021150 0.031872 0.045269 0.061000 0.080443
2025-11-09 0.006341 0.012411 0.020583 0.031648 0.045613 0.062133 0.082668
2025-11-16 0.005804 0.011880 0.020223 0.031665 0.046234 0.063581 0.085255
2025-11-23 0.005241 0.011269 0.019725 0.031476 0.046581 0.064685 0.087421
2025-11-30 0.004762 0.010750 0.019326 0.031395 0.047043 0.065916 0.089729
2025-12-07 0.004212 0.010075 0.018676 0.030956 0.047034 0.066558 0.091320
2025-12-14 0.003723 0.009457 0.018077 0.030559 0.047057 0.067224 0.092928
2025-12-21 0.003130 0.008605 0.017096 0.029612 0.046346 0.066964 0.093399
2025-12-28 0.002991 0.008538 0.017266 0.030233 0.047661 0.069210 0.096909
2026-01-04 0.002775 0.008312 0.017185 0.030501 0.048511 0.070874 0.099712